IRGC DEFIANT : EXTREME RHETORIC
The IRGC Navy is publicly calling Iran’s Foreign Minister Araghchi an “idiot” on international maritime Channel 16, broadcasting that the Strait of Hormuz “is still closed” and “we will open it by the order of our leader Imam Khamenei, not by the tweets of some idiot.”
He added “All vessels that have a connection with our enemies will be targeted if they try to pass.”
“Iran will fight for control of the Strait of Hormuz and succeed. If the U.S. escalates, the Gulf states will cease to exist. If I were living there now, I would leave. These countries are not going to be livable.”
https://x.com/Osint613/status/2045594508734161382
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Trump sets an end-of-day deadline on Iran following his Situation Room meeting, saying “I will know by the end of today if a deal is going to happen.”
https://x.com/HormuzLetter/status/2045597233240756496
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Trump gave the others a chance to show they could lead Iran.
Seems they’ve failed the test.
I will be patient before overstating.
But there is very little right now that is pointing towards a deal.
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Max Abrahms
@MaxAbrahms
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1h
Turns out it wasn’t Israel that tanked the agreement.
It was the IRGC.
If that surprises you then you’re following the wrong pundits.
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It’s clear what’s happening.
The “pragmatists” (Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, Abbas Araghchi, Masoud Pezeshkian) are locked in a tug-of-war with hardline ideologues in Tehran (Ahmad Vahidi).
Reformists are pushing for a deal.
Hardliners are blocking—posturing “tough” and stalling progress.
And nothing shifts while the power balance stays ~40–60, with hardliners still controlling 60% of the government.
The hardliner ideologues controlled 80–90% of the system just months ago—do you really think Khamenei would’ve let Ghalibaf and Araghchi negotiate during a war?
The question now is, will Trump kill the remaining hardliners to force a deal?
Or will he up the pressure and wait for them to capitulate.
https://x.com/IranSpec/status/2045543748336263197
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