Goldtent TA Paradise

The Public Health Agency of Canada. From the Conclusion: “Canada’s relatively strong pandemic response during the first two years of the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic resulted in large numbers of deaths, hospitalizations and ICU admissions averted relative to responses in the US and UK, and more modest gains relative to France. A disease control stance focussed on elimination rather than mitigation, as was pursued in Australia during the same time period, would have resulted in further health and economic benefits.”

https://www.canada.ca/en/public-health/services/reports-publications/canada-communicable-disease-report-ccdr/monthly-issue/2023-49/issue-5-may-2023/sars-cov-2-pandemic-severity-canada-peer-nations.html

PUTTING THE JUSTIFICATIONS IN PLACE NOW FOR EVEN MORE DRACONIAN/TOTALITARIAN RESTRICTIONS TO BE IMPOSED WHEN THE “NEXT PANDEMIC” IS RELEASED UPON THE NATION (ie; Climate Crisis)

https://www.westernjournal.com/bidens-primary-challenger-banned-social-media-platform-things-take-turn-elon-musk-gets-involved/

At Asia security forum, Chinese defence minister says Beijing seeks dialogue with the US and warns against ‘NATO-like’ alliances in Pacific region.\

Speaking at Asia’s top security summit, the Shangri-La Dialogue, Li said on Sunday that the world was big enough for China and the US to grow together.

https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2023/6/4/chinas-li-says-clash-with-us-would-be-unbearable-disaster

An Emergency Update from Simplicius the Thinker

This is a ‘brief’ update report that I just had to do after what was one of the wildest days of the war thus far, in terms of the sheer absurdity of events.

First, we had the next Ukrainian incursion attempt into Belgorod region which was an absolute cluster of an event as it was filled with a sheer soundwall of propaganda and zany circumstances.

https://simplicius76.substack.com/p/wild-day-in-the-wildlands-of-ukraine?utm_source=post-email-title&publication_id=1351274&post_id=126017994&isFreemail=false&utm_medium=email

96-Year-Old Dick Van Dyke and Wife Dance and Sing in New Music Video

https://www.christianity.com/videos/video-features/96-year-old-dick-van-dyke-and-wife-dance-and-sing-in-new-music-video.html?

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Q3fvE9HSC88

oops this is 7 months old …but still relevent…It’s playing out as he predicted

thanks Eddie

IT’S OVER NOW. PUTIN SURRENDERS

CANADIAN AIRCRAFT CARRIER DISPATCHED TO THE BLACK SEA

thanks Brian

Friendly French-Flavoured Greetings!

The photos in this gallery are from the final few days of the winter trip, which served as the perfect transition back into the Western world:

https://balloonbill.smugmug.com/Other/France/

Hoping you enjoy the transitioning!

Bill

SHORT VERSION

RUSSIA IS THRIVING AND MANAGING SPLENDIDLY WITH LOW INFLATION RECORD LOW UNEMPLOYMENT AND 24/7 MASSIVE ARMS MANUFACTURING ( WHILE SPENDING A FRACTION OF THEIR GDP ON THE WAR) AND THE COLLECTIVE WEST IS SPENDING LIKE DRUNKEN SAILORS WHILE THE EURO PEON ECONOMIES ARE IN RECESSION AND WEAPONS MANUFACTURING IS PATHETIC

https://simplicius76.substack.com/p/sitrep-6323-west-stymied-by-strong?utm_source=post-email-title&publication_id=1351274&post_id=125752622&isFreemail=false&token=eyJ1c2VyX2lkIjo0MTgxOTE1MiwicG9zdF9pZCI6MTI1NzUyNjIyLCJpYXQiOjE2ODU4MzQ1NTYsImV4cCI6MTY4ODQyNjU1NiwiaXNzIjoicHViLTEzNTEyNzQiLCJzdWIiOiJwb3N0LXJlYWN0aW9uIn0.rPA99ZzYQC2L_VSb1AQtXoLewZla9F6LEViJ9dsRe10&utm_medium=email

SNIP

Meanwhile, Raytheon’s stock reportedly dropped precipitously on news of the Patriot’s terrible performance

Particularly given the fact that Russian MOD announced the destruction of another set of enemy air defenses in Kiev in last night’s strikes:

The Russian Defense Ministry spoke about the night missile attack on Kyiv:

“Tonight, the Russian Aerospace Forces carried out a group strike with long-range precision-guided air-launched weapons against enemy air defense systems covering key critical military infrastructure facilities in Ukraine. All designated targets have been hit.”

Objective control footage confirming the defeat of the SAM in Kyiv has been published previously.

This was supported by footage which once again showed AD firing off into the night sky followed by a huge series of explosions on the ground, that silenced those sams

THERE IS A TON MORE FASCINATING INFORMATION IN THIS POST. THIS GUY IS REALLY WELL CONECTED ON THE UKRAINE SITUATION IN EVERY WAY

This chart is my answer to a very interesting chart submitted by Nightingale today. It might add something to the mix since this one shows the price potential between where we stand now and where we are going over the coming months. There is what I refer to as a “Pattern Gap” on this chart below. The gap is an empty space between parallel channels that must be filled for a channel to be completed. Generally these gaps offer us excellent price targets to set our sights on since they will eventually be met. My expectation is that the upper resistance level will be breached and price will move to new highs.

Brilliant and must watch

Here is the trailer 3 minutes

HERE IS THE LINK TO THE RED CARPET PREMIER . THE FIRST HOUR AND TEM MINUTES IS THE LEAD TO THE MOVIE WITH A LOT OF OUR FAVORITE FREEDOM FIGHTERS

THE FILM STARTS AROUNG THE 1:10 MARK…ENJOY AND PASS IT ON

https://thehighwire.com/thegreatawakeningpremiere/

Crimea, psychological capture. 50 Patriots. Borrell, €700B on war. Daily Mail, Putin is ‘toast.’ U/1
Alex Christoforou (40:55)

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1m-pVOyrGDE

German economic and political breakdown
Alex Christoforou, Alexander Mercouris (24:56)

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kM2g-F4augg

Russia Rapid Advance Marinka, Avdeyevka, Kupyansk; US Military Trainers Describe Dire State Ukr Army
Alexander Mercouris (1:12:19)

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6uTsC2jcEU0

MILITARY SUMMERY CHANNEL:
The Return Of Big Bad Wagner. Military Summary And Analysis For 2023.06.04
Dima (11:15)

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ouqv2aQm2o0

Donbass Zugzwang| Escalation & Meat Grinder Along The Entire Front Line. Military Summary 2023.06.04
Dima (Live at 12:30 PDST, 15:30 EDST)

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sjtoFvjFUM0

Again from J C

Maybe AI ain’t so bad…always

Jeff Childers has been ALL over this for a while now. More Evidence is Surfacing …It’s TRUMP !!

It might be the greatest political coup in history. I’ve hypothesized that, shortly before Biden declared he would run again, he — or whoever is pulling the strings — decided they’d prefer to run against Trump. So of course, the media immediately pivoted from trying to bury Trump, to helping him win the Republican nomination.

In other words, they’re doing it again! In 2016, captured corporate media and scheming democrats did whatever they could to help long-shot nominee Trump during the Republican presidential nominations; democrats even voted for Trump in open primaries and every other way they could:

But elevating Trump against the other potential Republican contenders ultimately boomeranged to kill Hilary’s run (thank goodness). Now it looks like they’re about to do the EXACT SAME THING.

Here’s the data confirming the theory. Don’t get caught up in the fact it was the DeSantis team who made the clip. The quote that set the theme was: “If Donald Trump becomes president again, he will be less dangerous than Ron DeSantis.”

The Left is absolutely terrified of Ron DeSantis.
They know he will NOT allow them to push their destructive and sick agenda on children.

https://twitter.com/DeSantisWarRoom/status/1664711287639515136?utm_source=substack&utm_medium=email

This is not the media backhandedly praising DeSantis by calling him smarter and more effective than Trump. It’s not even so much that the liberal media is pounding DeSantis as a threat to our democracy. The significance is that they are giving their deranged, anti-Trump liberal base a reason to SUPPORT TRUMP IN THE PRIMARY.

Are liberal MSNBC viewers so mentally soft that, just because a few talking heads said so, they would trade in their Trump Derangement Syndrome for DeSantis Derangement Syndrome, and start to see the good side of Trump? I’ll leave answering that question as an exercise for the reader.

The media’s pivot is breathtaking. 2023 is the year that continues to give. I did not have “captured media supports Trump” on my bingo card. Somehow, Trump poked media’s TDS in just the right spot, creating a brain seizure that reset them to the 2016 strategy, like bumping into an old-fashioned record player. It’s replaying the last song again.

As Hilary did in 2016, Biden in 2024 has decided he wants TRUMP. Here’s a Politico headline from 2016’s race:

Trump will benefit from captured media’s boostering until the day after the primaries, as well as from stealthy Biden campaign assistance, and even sneaky deep state support. For example, the FBI will wait until AFTER the primaries to indict Trump on the classified files scam or whatever. The democrats’ goal would be to somehow legally disqualify Trump, after the nomination, leaving the Republicans without any candidate.

Then Biden, unopposed, could skate to victory.

It’s not at all clear it will happen, that Trump COULD be legally disqualified. But it is starting to look like that insane strategy might be the deranged democrats’ optimal campaign strategy, the only way that they could successfully elect the first Alzheimer’s patient as President of the United States — through a trumped-up (literally), third-world, banana republic style, good old political witch hunt.

To win, Trump will have to beat the democrats’ manufactured rap. But knowing Trump, the risk-seeking master marketer might even be planning to benefit from both features by turning the tables: he could use democrat’s terror of Ron DeSantis to help win the Republican nomination, then he could use the subsequent legal persecutions as his campaign platform, and the way to dominate the news cycle. He could flip the script and become a martyr.

It would be a high-risk, winner-takes-all strategy.

Thus, pro-Trump Republicans need not attack DeSantis. The Governor’s campaign is a gift to Trump, not a threat. The better DeSantis does, the more captured media will boost Trump. DeSantis’ campaign is arguably the best thing that ever happened to the Trump campaign. I can’t imagine what else, on or off the planet, that could have possibly have caused the entire liberal media — plus the Biden Administration and the deep state — to pivot and push Trump as the Republican nominee.

Trump probably deserves credit. From early on, he singled out DeSantis and acted like he, Trump, was fretting about the Florida’s Governor’s chances. This outcome might have been accidental, but Trump is cunning, and can anyone doubt he remembers perfectly how the nomination was won last time? He lived and breathed it.

Anyway, the bottom line is, Trump supporters can also support DeSantis without guilt. The stronger DeSantis looks, the more woke leftists will rally behind Donald Trump.

As Mark Twain artfully quipped, “History does not repeat itself, but it often rhymes.”

“Citizens should be able to decide these things through free and fair elections, not necessarily with a small group of asset managers and CEOs that are telling individuals how to live their lives.”

https://twitter.com/i/status/1665327565253361665

In a comment on a recent post (Another Reason Why Everything’s So Gay), reader “Rockinrole” brought up Magnus Hirschfeld, the pioneering sexologist of Weimar Berlin, as someone whose legacy is a key to understanding our present. That may be true, but perhaps not in the way he thought. I learned something new about Hirschfeld in a fascinating thread I’ll share with you below. Following that, we’ll wrap up with a brief investing note about the recent rally in regional banks. First, though, let’s start with the current-year conventional wisdom about Hirschfeld.

https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2023-06-03/historical-link-between-transgenderism-and-nazism

I assume you all have watched What is a Woman ( 120 million views now )

Here is an antidote for all parents and grand parents and great grand parents to buy and share

https://nypost.com/2023/02/25/libs-of-tiktok-creator-is-publishing-a-childrens-book/

Amazon

https://www.amazon.ca/No-More-Secrets-Candy-Cavern/dp/1955550379/ref=sr_1_1?crid=3K56F9ZBTVR4Q&keywords=no+more+secrets+the+candy+cavern&qid=1685889414&sprefix=no+more+secrets+the+candy+%2Caps%2C147&sr=8-1

As mentioned that this weekend I would present some views on commodities and while I have presented WEAT, NATGAS and COAL there are sure more. While WEAT has completed its’ HALFWAY measured pattern and a bottom seems plausible. NATGAS jumped from support though came back and COAL (via BTU) is at breaking point (make/break) while possibly arguable the low could be in but if BREAKS a plunge could follow.

So just glancing those three, commodities are at a inflicting point. So what does CRB (commodities index) inform us?

Lets’ start with a close-up; 6-year weekly. Since almost a year CRB is trading below the important W-EMA(30) and has not been able to recover. Therefore CRB is in a 1-year BEAR TREND. Observe the Thin Black (horizontal) Fibonacci and is approaching 38.2% retrace but I don’t find it enough. More plausible and functioning as a magnet is the 50%-FIB retrace @ 215 which equals the GREEN HOR. QUADRANT lines as well tags the W-MA(200) @ 216. Such retrace would make CRB sink 17% which would be significant already. Would the ‘2020-runnaway’ GAP @ 125 ever get filled?

If CRB does not get above WEMA(30) quickly then a decline towards 215 seems more likely. Such could coincidence with the charted CYCLES into the week of 17^th July-2023. Keep this in mind!

Here CRB 33-year weekly chart you probably never have seen presented you before. Most remarkable is the BLUE FORK. For CRB to get above 300-320 would mark a BO and for such more work need to occur.

But for me something is off with CRB for which one observe TWO sets of charted CYCLES. Main question for such would be: do we take 1999 or 2001 as point of origin for setting the cycles within this 33-year time frame? Observe two significant LOWS (1999 and 2001). Although the LIGHT BLUE CYCLES seem fitting for which we make a LARGER GREEN CYCLE and we get a 2023-Q2 LOW; possibly a significant LOW. Remember this is a LT-weekly-chart and dates can be a few weeks/month OFF.

But … when taken 1999 as point of origin which also was GOLD-LOW we also get an interesting charted (GREY) cycle with next cycle low due July-2024 (+/-). This date resonate with many other charts I have. But also look at the BLUE FORK set @ 1999 and makes me believe more in the GREY-1999-set of charted cycles.

So how low can CRB go (into 2024)? If the W-MA(200) @ 215 gives way … probably much lower. The BLUE FORK is something to keep an eye on as for SUPPORT. Moreover there is a RED FORK parallel to the BLUE FORK. If with any (system) crash, CRB and therefore commodities will crash along … the lower line of the RED FORK ‘could’ get tagged and strangely enough such tag during next GREY CYCLE LOW would come @ 122 and would fill’ da CRB-GAP @ 125. I would not be surprised for such to occur.

To become bullish for commodities, CRB needs to get above the WEMA(30) and where a BO of the BLUE FORK would seriously signal a commodities BULL RUN ahead!

July-2023 is significant to watch for CRB next LOW. Nevertheless CRB is at RED HORIZONTAL SUPPORT and such kind of SUPPORT we have also seen on WEAT, NATGAS & COAL. Therefore for Commodity bulls, this RED HOR LINE needs to HOLD otherwise a DROP follows.  But as long as this RED.HOR.Line holds … the LIGHT BLUE CHARTED CYCLES give CRB-BULLS perspective.

Interesting alternative view is we get a Double Bottom (DB) at both CYCLE LOWS; July-2023 & July/October-2024. My personal view is an October-2024 SIGNIFICANT LOW.

This concludes My COMMODITY analyses for now. Hope you find it valuable, interesting and have  appreciated it.

IMO. DYODD.

https://twitter.com/i/status/1665339059403718666

https://nsarchive.gwu.edu/briefing-book/russia-programs/2017-12-12/nato-expansion-what-gorbachev-heard-western-leaders-early

Kim Dotcom @KimDotcom

Declassified documents show security assurances against NATO expansion to Soviet leaders from Baker, Bush, Genscher, Kohl, Gates, Mitterrand, Thatcher, Hurd, Major, and Woerner.

We have a war in Europe because promises from the US Govt are worth nothing: nsarchive.gwu.edu/briefing-book/…

https://twitter.com/i/status/1664981651263307776

Meet the U.S.-Funded Force Behind Lebanon’s Refugee Crackdown – The Biden administration’s Lebanon policy ends up propping up the very order it claims to oppose.

Last month, Lebanese authorities began a new campaign of harassment against Syrian refugees, and the Lebanese Armed Forces (LAF), the recipient of billions of American taxpayer dollars, is putting muscle behind the policy. The LAF has conducted dozens of raids in recent weeks, arresting hundreds of Syrians and forcibly deporting many of them to Bashar al-Assad’s Syria in violation of international law.

At best, then, the recent LAF campaign against Syrian refugees reflects failed U.S. policy. At worst, the deportations reveal the administration’s stated policy to be nothing more than empty rhetoric.

https://12ft.io/proxy?

The video is 30 min or if a fast reader it can be read in a shorter time.

UN Agenda 2030, supported by the WEF, is to destroy Western Civ.

Western Civ is at odds to Feudal Serfdom which lends itself to Marxism or Chinese Communism as we know it. You have no rights or property.

Identity politics in race, gender, class, etc is used to destroy capitalism. Diversity, equity and inclusivity refers to the redistribution of wealth in a world of Global Marxism. We know who the rulers will be.

I agree that we are at a pivotal point in Western history. It’s either lost or we turn this around.
I will be sending this around to my contacts in the Centre and the awakened.

https://www.lifesitenews.com/blogs/author-brilliantly-explains-how-woke-ideology-came-from-marxism-in-viral-speech/?utm_source=daily-canada-2023-06-03&utm_medium=email

big picture

very big picture

Gentlemen and ladies,
Being the first Saturday of June 2023, I’d like to hear from the Tent what is the “vibe” for this month, which will also mark the end of 2Q 2023.

With the debt ceiling now effectively raised, I’m trying to understand how the flooding of treasuries will impact very short term rates/2 year rates/10-30 year rates?
If rates rise, will markets sell off hard?
Having gone up north of 10% in the last 12 weeks, S&P could just “correct” by 4-6% and yet remain “bullish” in the medium term?
From this point on I think it is more about ratios now, more than ever.

Today gold to S&P ratio is roughly under 0.46.

My educated guesses:
(i) Whether rates rise or fall, PMs rise.
(ii) If rates rise fast, due to higher treasury issuance, PMs rise faster, S&P could sell off, and the ratio rises, toward 0.48, or towards the magical 0.5 number. Many analysts are waiting for this confirmation.
(iii) No matter how much fiduciaries advise, to stop believing in TINA, I still see TINA is alive. NVDA, GOOG, AAPL all being at 52-wk highs is a simple proof.

JPMorgan Chase & Co. strategist Nikolaos Panigirtzoglou estimates a flood of Treasuries will compound the effect of QT on stocks and bonds, knocking almost 5% off their combined performance this year. Citigroup Inc. macro strategists offer a similar calculus, showing a median drop of 5.4% in the S&P 500 over two months could follow a liquidity drawdown of such magnitude, and a 37 basis-point jolt for high-yield credit spreads.

https://finance.yahoo.com/news/trillion-dollar-treasury-vacuum-coming-135944792.html

GL

Sutcliffe said that the school administration placed him on leave after he congratulated two students, both biological females, for their exceptional work in solving a math problem in class.

He recalled saying, “Well done, girls!” to the two students, but to his dismay, one of them reportedly does not identify as a female.

“And that in her mind was a misgendering,” Sutcliffe told Fox News.

https://humanevents.com/2023/06/03/uk-math-teacher-fired-for-misgendering-after-saying-well-done-girls-to-female-students?

https://twitter.com/i/status/1663319380019560449

NEW DOCUMENTARY. VERY GOOD BUT I THINK IT’S MISTITLED : BIG CITY CANADAN IS DYING

Thanks Brian A

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_RaWzJUeT0o

It has been over a year since SMDRF suspended trading on OTCQX.
Methinks in this manner it got shielded from the 65-85% train wreck losses that other juniors encountered, with or without good news.

Any other holders of SMDRF here?
It will resume trading on TSX on Monday June 5th.

https://sierramadregoldandsilver.com/read/auto-news-1685744587

GL

In Italian Piedmont there has been a “mysterious” loss of livestock. Do you know how it happened?

The veterinarian came in and vaccinated all the animals against “the fashionable disease,” and then they all DIED.

https://twitter.com/clif_high

SOMEWHAT RELATED