Loading ...Covid-19 has been irrelevant for anyone under 65 years of age in Canada
Dotted black line is totals deaths per week all causes for 2020. Data is only available for up to about the 24th week, late June where the black line drops below all the rest.
Note the peak of the 2020 deaths is late April, the peak of the Covid-19 outbreak. Note also the peak isn’t any higher than that for 2018 that occurred in mid January of that year. Same amount of deaths each year but occurring at different times. 2018 seasonal flu deaths were 8,500 while Covid-19 deaths for 2020 are 9,200.
Here’s just the 45 to 64 year group. The black 2020 weekly death line is inseparable from those for the last six years.
The age groups from 0-44 are the same, in the graph below.
Covid-19’s effect on the population of Canada has not been substantially different than that of the common annual seasonal respiratory viruses, what is called “seasonal flu”. Covid-19 is, in fact, nothing more than a new seasonal respiratory virus and like all new flu viruses and corona virus colds, will probably persist in the population and create season outbreaks for decades just as H1N1 flu from 2009 and H3N2 flu from 1968 (Hong Kong flu) still does. H1N1 was the dominant flu strain in Canada this past year in December and January. I believe my whole family got it in January as well as many other people I know.
The final word in all this, in my opinion, is that governments all over the world have been mistakenly characterizing Covid-19 as a special and very serious health threat when the death rate data and age profile data reveal it to be normal and routine, almost expected.
The total deaths comparison graph for just the province of Ontario, the largest province and home to the largest city in Canada where I live makes this whole Covid-19 outbreak look even more ordinary.
The peak deaths from Covid-19 in early April, week 15, are no greater than that for week 1 in January when, as I mentioned, H1N1 was making a return and having the exact same effect, death rate and death profile, as Covid-19 would have in April. If you can grasp all this I don’t think there’s anything else you need to know, or can know, about the threat of Covid-19 in our society today. It’s much the same picture everywhere in the world because Covid-19, while it might be a new virus, isn’t a new kind of virus.
Charts are from the link below:
https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/pub/71-607-x/71-607-x2020017-eng.htm
Wow TimH
Excellent …How come nobody in the MSM has called you yet for an interview ? 🙂
Seriously …these charts are available to anybody …but it took a great researcher like you to bring them to light !
We have to send this to Public Health Ontario for Their Comments .
If No comment we have to send them to Doug Ford and Justin Trudeau …perhaps through Randy Hillier
Shame on all of them for hiding these stats in an obscure website and not highlighting this !
This is profound !
Now tell me please what it means that the dotted 2020 line ON THE ALL DEATHS CHART spikes in April above all the other years and then drops way way below.
It means that the deaths in April were mostly from isolated locked down nursing homes…deaths that were brought forward ..not by the virus necessarily but by the fear and the isolation and the lack of treatment for these folks on their last months of life.
SCANDAL !
I think it’s because of incomplete reporting, provisional data. Otherwise it would be extremely unusual and deaths seem to be rather regular and predictable. About 5000 people in Canada will die this week based on previous years. This data has been up since July 24th but not updated since then. I think Statscan made a special effort to put up interim data when normally they would have waited till it was all finalized.
There are some curious statements on the page that introduces these charts ( https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/daily-quotidien/200924/dq200924b-eng.htm ):
“Over the course of the spring, from the end of March to the start of June, there were an estimated 7,027 more deaths than what would have been expected if there was no pandemic. This was largely driven by the 7,575 deaths due to COVID-19 observed during this time.”
NOT 9,200! Notice this:
“The provisional death counts and estimates released today for the first 31 weeks of 2020 may not match figures from other sources, such as media reports, or counts and estimates from provincial or territorial health authorities and other agencies.”
And this:
“The number of deaths in Canada caused by COVID-19 come from the Canadian Vital Statistics Death Database. These deaths are certified by a medical professional, coroner or medical examiner as due to COVID-19 and officially registered in Canada. Previous releases referenced COVID-19 death information reported by the Public Health Agency of Canada based on data submitted by provincial and territorial authorities. The authoritative source for causes of death is the Canadian Vital Statistics Death Database.”
Essentially, at least 1600 deaths counted as Covid by “public health authorities” do not qualify as that by the regular statistical authority.
Comes out to a death rate of 20.5 /100k instead of 24.8. This puts Covid-19 this year clearly within the ranges of seasonal flu: 2018-23/100k; 2017-20.2; 2016-17.2; 2015-21.3. Furthermore, this year was the initial outbreak of Covid-19 and one expects higher mortality due to the lowest level of immunity for the initial outbreaks. After this, recurring outbreaks always meet with higher levels of immunity in the community due to higher levels of exposure, and therefore lower mortality. In the initial outbreak of H1N1 in 2009, the mortality among anyone over 60 was reduced because they had been exposed to another H1N1 variant in 1958, the Asian flu. Every epidemiologist knows this stuff, I’m just a hobbyist with some exposure to these things from undergraduate university 30 years ago. The real scientists have obviously been forced out of what would have been a two-week farce back in March if they’d been able to speak in the media.
PS…I now think I had H1n1 in November …thanks to your research
It was a bad flu and I know a lot of folks who had it too…I assumed it was covid but this makes more sense
It is possible the is NO covid and this has all been H1N1 …Is anybody actually being tested for H1N1 ?
sheesh
I think they do do testing but not to the extent of what is being done with covid cases. Anyone sick enough to die of flu and pneumonia can be diagnosed clinically I would expect. A lab test might just be for flu watch monitoring. The thing is, the people dying of seasonal flu are already dying so I doubt anyone is really suspicious of what respiratory virus killed them since they’re all common and not a threat to anyone else except other members in nursing home.