In a paper published today, all-cause mortality expert Denis Rancourt, Ph.D., said claims by public health agencies and top medical journals that childhood vaccination prevents millions of deaths annually are based on “tentative and untethered models of epidemiological forecasting” that produce “unlikely results.”

The models depend entirely on invalid estimates of vaccine efficacy and disease prevalence and virulence, none of which are based on real-world data concerning actual deaths, according to Rancourt.

https://childrenshealthdefense.org/defender/childhood-vaccines-saved-millions-of-lives-based-on-flawed-models/?

AND

Invalidity of counterfactual models of mortality averted by childhood vaccination

https://correlation-canada.org/opinion-childhood-vaccination-mortality-averted/