While the odds favored a hawkish cut by the FED leading to a significant drop in stocks, metals and eveything else, the wildcard is the budget CR.

If opponents can scuttle it and shutdown the govt. for two weeks, the everything bubble is probably history. Enough technical damage can be done and people won’t wait until early January to sell. It could cascade into a rout that really would just bring some balance to the bubble insanity that has been going on for the last few months.

If the CR somehow gets passed, a bounce leading into the New Year could be expected, but it would just delay the inevitable bear market, by a couple of weeks.