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CANADA : Overview of national polling “Surely, it can’t get any worse.” Cry The Turds

1. Fullgoldcrown says:

   November 14, 2023 - 12:35 am at 12:35 am

   “Surely, it can’t get any worse.”

   That’s what many Liberals must be thinking week after week.

   “Oh, but yes it can.”

   And that’s what many Liberals are hearing from their pollster’s week after week.

   This week is no exception.

   The main poll that has everyone’s attention is the latest Nanos survey, which shows the Liberals entering full-blown ‘total collapse’ territory.

   The survey puts the Conservatives at 40% nationwide.

   The Liberals have fallen to just 22%, barely ahead of the NDP at 20%.

   These are truly horrific numbers for the Liberals, putting them far below even the Stephane Dion era when they fell to 26%.

   The fact that the Liberals are all the way down to 22% yet the NDP are still around 20% is simply amazing.

   Even with the Liberals facing a total collapse, the NDP is barely able to make any gains.

   This is the strongest indication yet that the Liberals are losing votes directly to the Conservatives and almost nowhere else.

   This tracks with the Conservatives strong polling numbers among young Canadians, who tend to skew more to the Liberals & NDP. If an entire new generation is willing to vote Conservative en masse, then we would expect to see the Liberals drop without the NDP making any gains.

   If the Nanos poll were to be the result on election day, it would lead to a massive Conservative majority, with the CPC winning 210 seats, and the Liberals falling to just 53 seats. That would represent a total loss of 107 seats for the Liberals, with the NDP gaining 14.

   What makes this more astounding is that the Nanos poll, with the NDP at 20% and picking up just over a dozen seats is one of the best polls for the NDP.

   The overall 338Canada polling average still has the NDP at just 20 seats, with the Liberals at 79 and the Conservatives at 205.

   The Conservatives remain at 40% in the popular vote, with the Liberals down to 27% and the NDP at 18%.

   The 338Canada average includes polls from a ways back, meaning that if the Nanos poll is picking up on a further drop in Liberal support, the overall projection for the Liberals will get even worse.

   All in all, Canadians continue to give every indication that they are simply done with the Liberals. And that’s no surprise, as Canada’s economy, social cohesion, national defence, and international reputation are all in rapid decline. Why would voters want to re-elect the same people who put us in such a horrendous situation?

   Spencer Fernando

2. Strider says:

   November 14, 2023 - 3:07 pm at 3:07 pm

   I will believe Canadians are serious when the Conservatives are over fifty percent. The NDP and the Liberals have walked hand in hand during Castreau’s pathetic reign. They are essentially the same party. That being said, the polls are tied.