New lows across the board
The Dow, SPX and Naz all made new lows this morning confirming the downtrend, and the Nasdaq is closing in on the 40% off mark. Is this the beginning of a “third of a third”? If so, it’s showtime for the bears. This aligns with the Rambus position outlined in his weekend report.
There are others that think this is the end of a three wave correction. The (III) on this chart is the all time high.
And market rates are going to the moon, which means the Feds will continue raising their rates. This makes me lean toward the Rambus bear position. I would like to see a little more “chaos” in the market to confirm the bear case – third waves of a third are normally impressive and this decline has been too orderly to this point.
Good synopsis.
This has been looking to me like the end of a downwave, but I can’t make out yet at what degree.
Unlikely the large bear move as IV. (Bulls return)
More likely the end of Wave 1 or A in the Big Bear. 2 or B is on deck. (Bears thrashed)
Time to be on guard.
Basic thesis to keep in mind for the YEARS ahead. The bond market bull is over.
And the last major bear mkt for bonds ran 15 years.
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/Fe9KjKMWIAEXP8s?format=jpg&name=4096×4096
I’m leaning in this direction.