Gold Bull
Disclaimers :
1…I know only the very basic level of E W
2….I admit I don’t use EW in my trading.
3….Beyond the basics , It is too complex for my simple mind.
4….I don’t really like it.
But what I do understand is the premis . Markets tend to trade in 5 waves up followed by 3 waves Down (A B C) or vice versa ( Down then Up in a Bear)
After that… the rules get too complex for me . But to each his own.
So here is what I see in Gold. (E Wavers feel free to blow this up 🙂
………………….
We had a nice first Move and now we are digesting it.
Likely we are not done as the 38% fibo has not even been hit yet and often even the 50% fibo needs to be hit before wave A down is done .
Then theoretically we would bounce in a B Wave up then down again in a C wave….before the next leg up can begin.
Flames .. Arrows ?
I agree with your view and use of EW, and I also use it only in its simplest form.
But I see this rally as:
Wave 1 – August to Feb
Wave 2 – Feb to June
Wave 3 – June to Sept
Wave 4 – Sept to present
Same opinion. Next upmwave wave 5, that will complete wave 3 up. After that long correction?
Avi says we’re completing a c down
If I squint my eyes, I see a really nice flagstaff with a lovely pennant flying from it. I have to admit that I sometimes see what I want to see, but a pennant would be nice.
The 1 is too overlapping to be a 1. (Not impulsive)
The 3 is too short, even assuming 1 and 2. Its usually a fib multiple of 1’s distance.
The larger context matters. Is it a bull market, or not?
If not, then its a bear, or corrective to the piior bull. Hint hint.
If its corrective, then EW is difficult for experts too.
All abc’s at high degree, and internally. (Look up ‘fractal’.)
C waves APPEAR to be a ‘new bull market’ and can have strong 3rd waves at lower degree within it.
Like the move last fall.
So my guess …. 4th wave of large C wave inside an even larger corrective structure.
Just as I laid out for you all in 2014-15. “Keepers”.
Nothing has changed.
Gold’s time will come, but OMG will getting there in one piece be a royal bitch.