Yield Spread TYX to FVX vs HUI
Yield spread between 30 yr T to 5 yr T is on rise- Steepining.
From TS Blog:
“The reason that the next yield-curve trend reversal from flattening to steepening will not necessarily signal the onset of an economic bust/recession is that there are two potential drivers of such a reversal. The reversal could be driven by falling short-term interest rates or rising long-term interest rates. If it’s the former it signals a boom-bust transition, but if it’s the latter it signals rising inflation expectations.
As an aside, regardless of whether a major yield-curve reversal from flattening to steepening is driven by the unravelling of an artificial boom or rising inflation expectations, it is bullish for gold. By the same token, a major reversal in the yield curve from steepening to flattening is always bearish for gold.”
https://tsi-blog.com/2018/08/another-look-at-the-us-yield-curve/
Lately the spread has broken out to steepining so as HUI , XAU and GDX miners have risen but Gold and Silver to gold ratio is stuck in trading range.
Spread vs SGR 9ema:
Daily spread vs SGR line:
Daily Spread vs HUI to gold ratio
Expecting soon these ratios to turn and join the spread.
Wow thats some heavy analysis…. ratios spreads emas
Take a while to wrap ones hear around all that Bikoo
thanks
Hopefully spread BO is real to steepining that will be bullish. NEED follwothru in SGR and miner ratio. They are + corelated over time.