Putin Gave The Hornets Nest To Turkeye
Syria is important. No matter how bitter it is to realize this. But there is such a maxim, “no matter how hard the failure is, if you have learned from it, then it is no longer a failure, but the next step up the mountain.” In other words, working on mistakes is more important than the mistakes themselves. Everyone encounters failures in life, but not everyone draws conclusions from this. Let’s try to understand what experience can be drawn from the situation with Syria. . . .
Assad has shown himself to be a great warrior. He stood firm in a hopeless situation and got a chance in 2015 in the form of aid from Iran and Russia. But he did not use it, did not learn from his mistakes. In a broader sense, Assad failed to care for his people who suffered in the civil war. He has not forgiven those who opposed him and has refused to begin a process of national reconciliation. The people of Syria remain divided. The West imposed harsh sanctions on Syria and did everything in its power to prevent the state from restoring its income from its oil fields. This killed all attempts to begin economic recovery.
And Assad, instead of letting go of the reins, increased the tax burden several times over. The Middle East is such a big bazaar: trade, small business – the essence of the way of life of the people here. Assad, instead of allowing people to survive in hard times, at least due to this, strangled everyone with taxes. Therefore, the society that gave Assad a chance after the first stage of the civil war did not give him a second chance – people simply refused to fight for him. . . .
Second, it’s not a disaster for us. Somehow, everything here has worked out cunningly. Syria was a transit point for Russia on the way to Africa. By losing Syria, we lose transit bases (both air and sea). This is precisely the point that the Western press is now pointing to. However, reading their jubilant articles, one gets the feeling that behind this jubilation, there is obvious annoyance.
Why? Because, if you look a little deeper, Putin has outplayed everyone here too.
The fact is that the fall of Syria occurred immediately after the launch of the North-South land corridor at full capacity. From the ports of St. Petersburg along the trans-Caspian land highway through Azerbaijan and Iran to the ports of the Indian Ocean. The project began to be implemented back in 2000.
This will be one of Putin’s great legacies. His major achievement.
From the original substack ……. interesting observation:
That is, no matter how you look at it, we “exchanged” Syria very successfully. Especially since the Assad regime was dead anyway. Formally, it is a defeat. So, of course, we will sprinkle ashes on our heads and cheerfully watch the Anglo-Saxons celebrate their victory with sour smiles. Putin publicly sold them a rotten apple that they can not refuse.
This has been a very strange event. It seemed weird from the start. In the end, Syria is now controlled by different radical Muslim groups with ties to Turkeye. I’m not sure how Israel benefits from that. Hezbollah and Iran should be able to make deals with them to continue moving weapons. Russia and Iran walk away from a dysfunctional situation, and the US, if things go really bad, will send troops to keep control of the situation beginning their latest quagmire. SNAFU!