I really didn’t think silver would pull back
to $26.50 but here we are.
And the 30 WMA is upon us, just.like.that.
But I also thought we wouldn’t revisit anything below $2400 gold and…here.we.are.
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I show $2427 as lowest today – where are you looking?
Spot price, not futures
SB means silver, and I have 2385 for gold.
As for silver … sorry, but the picture there looks much like RGLD at longer time frames.
My eyes are still glued to FXY, and I don’t have feel for an EW count here.
The waterfall ended 2022, and its been ratcheting down ED style since.
You could argue a low and breakout now, but none of my VLT bull/bear metrics have flipped. Notably the 20mo midband (level or slope). Looks like a rejection instead. SO FAR.
Spot for physical is lower than futures. Been that way for a few months now.
GSR is hight at 90 (futures). Either gold is telling the truth about the severity of the selloff or Silver is (oversold IMO) – I’m going with what gold signals (it’s cheap IMO but silver even moreso). Also I would point out that in the past few months it’s not uncommon to see gold suddently gap UP causing the GSR to plummet.
There are going to be some recognition points coming up that causes gold to gap back to the 2450+ range and possibly beyond. Silver I don’t care about since it will eventually follow gold – I view the GSR as a rubber band stretching between the two PM’s – it will normalize and just need to be there when it does.
If the current PM behavior were happening around a GSR of say 70, I’d be a bit worried but that’s not the case.
Silver ain’t Gold and the miners ain’t what they used to be. What did the HUI trade at in the mid aughts? What did Silver trade at when Gold topped at $1920 more than a decade ago? I wouldn’t be in a hurry to jump long at this time. Might be a couple 2-3 months. Common sense would tell you the metals should be much higher. I am wary if something obvious isn’t happening.
Yeah, you may be right, however looking at the action of some of these charts and they are getting extreme ugly which spells opportunity. Look at Ivanhoe or better yet Ivanhoe electric. (IE) down 50% in a months. They are sitting on 100m cash so it’s not like they are going to go broke. I am going to start deploying some cash reserves
Extreme ugly was SILJ at $7.80 we are not there yet.