The action in early trading is positive and today is important. This is the first real test of the maxim, that gold (and silver) will really break out and run, when stocks rollover and decline sharply.

We need to see stocks fall hard throughout the day and the metals have big up days that build and hold into the close.

Next week will be critical to see if the stock market has topped and can have at least a 5-10% correction over the next few weeks or so. If it does, then the metals should run in the next new leg of their bull market.