The Three 1/3 Possibilities – NVDA
In a little more than two hours we will get the Nvdia results. I believe there is a 1/3 chance the market reacts positively and the stock goes to $1000 or better.
There is also a 1/3 possibility of a complete nothing burger and with some wild swings, the stock tomorrow, ends only modestly changed, either way.
The third 1/3 scenario, is the stock, regardless of how positive the numbers may be, collapses by 10% or more. If the third scenario plays out, it will crater the market for at least a while and probably will go down in the history books as marking the end of this 19 month bull market.