RFK JR …NOT YOUR ORDINARY 3RD PARTY CANDIDATE
If the Democrats and Republicans nominate current President Joe Biden and Trump respectively, and Kennedy runs as a third party, 33 percent of Democratic voters would “likely” vote for him, as per the recent Rasmussen Reports poll, including 14 percent who would be “very likely” to back him. Among likely voters as a whole, 25 percent said they would likely vote for Kennedy if he ran against Biden and Trump, including 14 percent of Republicans, with 10 percent saying they are “very likely” to cast their ballots this way.
A third party can be developed over a few election cycles. Perhaps a messiah could deliver it early, yet Obama is on the bong! Kennedy running as an independent insures a Trump landslide. I’ll believe it when he announces. It’s not a good move for him.
3rd party run by Jr hurts Trump. Those who would vote for Biden still will. Some Trump voters might vote for Jr. If you believe the elections are on the up and up anyway which I don’t.
In our little WNC Resistance club, made up of mostly informed conservatives, and more women than men, all anti vax, at least half are with RFK. So conservative women will go with him. Conservative men lean towards Trump.
I don’t have insight into the Dem crowd on their splits.
I think state by state is the better way to examine this.
Deeper red states will stay with DJT.
Some blue states might flip to RFK.
Swing states could be three way toss ups.
Yes there are some repub. who don’t like Trump but would have voted for him anyway over Biden and some may go to RFK Jr. However there are a lot more Dems who would only vote for Biden because they won’t vote for Trump ever. Given a third choice they will stay home or vote for RFK Jr. He will take away more votes from the Dems than the repubs. Just as if some third party conserv ran it would take more votes from the repub. than the Dems. He definitely makes the difference and also makes it harder for the Dems to steal.
He knows he wasn’t ever going to get the Dem nomination so he was never going to win the presidency. This is his role. To insure the Dems lose. It will be a lot harder to steal the election with RFK Jr. taking away more Dem votes than GOP votes.
https://x.com/CollinRugg/status/1708525168447164728?s=20