Silver Juniors- Wipeout!
Plus the subset of silver explorers are even worse.
Silver stocks have been in a bear market since August 2020…. Period.
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That is pretty damning evidence. On the positive side its a very nice bull flag in development so we should not lose hope.
I thought bull flags develop on pullbacks after solid rally legs.
Looks to me like down from 2011. Erratic rally moves from 2016 into 2020.
But now back down near 2015 lows or below. At least for many.
My review this morning did spot a few winners like AZ Silver.
Bull Flag huh … well if it takes to long (TIME) then it is considered to be a BEAR CHANNEL. IMO
You are exactly right. Bear channel. Meaning the shares would be in a bear market since in a bull market we would be seeing the shares out pace the metal.
I certainly have not lost hope, in fact I have begun assembling my buy list and buy points for major purchases.
But if you are familiar with this chart it is the same one I used to declare the silver stocks in a bear market way back in early 2021 of course to be the target of numerous arrows by many particularly the perma bulls. (chartmaster are you reading)
Link the thread. I would like to see it. Cannot recall what we said back then.
I am reading but not sure what arrows you refer to. I may have disagreed about where silver was at various points along the way but haven’t shot any arrows, just made my case. Like now if you take the two silver miners that I have recommended at various times over the last two years or so, HL is still fine since the 2020 bottom. Yes it is down from it’s highs but still positive for the longer term. CDE has been less so for the reason you have pointed out correctly, a couple of times(share dilutution). I still like both and still sticking to my call last Wed. that silver has bottomed. Let’s see how this week and the rest of the month plays out.
OK, granted my comment was a bit of a troll, thanks for being gracious and not reacting to it. Way back then EVERYONE was universally bullish but the tools I use suggested that the bull was over. That SILJ:SILVER ratio was one of them. Turns out 2 years later it was a good tell. OK water under the bridge now. Looking ahead the tools do not indicate a turn upward yet, however I think it is late in the bear game.
What I see is the juniors just recently really getting slaughtered in an annihilation moment. The larger quality silver stocks are just down, but not out. There remains gaps at lower levels. Perhaps these get filled. But I think over the next few months we are entering the true buy zone for an upcoming bull run that eventually turns into the long awaited moonshot.
The HL rec is a good one. Not that HL is such a great company, but it has become a silver bank of sorts and it is located mostly in the US (not Mexico) CDE, well they have never proved themselves to be shareholder friendly. They in effect are a large scale lifestyle company, why give them a chance when there are a handful of real companies that have incentives on the shareholder side. IMHO it’s best to stick with quality in this sector. You don’t need to seek leverage because there is enough inherent leverage in the stocks themselves.
Stick with AYA, PAAS, SILV, MAG, HL, FSM, NEWP, AG. Consider GSVRF as a good spec play. Also possibly DV. all else is out there in the risk curve.
Here is another big picture observation. The general stock market has now been rising since October. IOW can’t really label it a bear market rally anymore. So what is it? Well I would say its a cyclical bull market. Maybe it lasts until late summer.
I don’t see what the tuss is about calling it a bear flag. As long as you knew what was meant. Its a channel falling to the right which will eventually yield to a reversal. Nobody thinks they are going to zero I hope. Lol…..unless this really is the end of the world. But if it is we won’t be storing up gold and silver before the rapture.
Oops…I meant bull flag. Sheesh.. goodnight hahaha ?
Plunger mentioned Aug 2020. I got two VLT sell alerts for SILJ in July and Aug of 2020. But this ETF briefly defied those warnings, making several further new highs in early 2021. Sell signal came in June 2021.
I just got another one of these Sell alerts last month. The first since those two from 2020. So “bear” that in mind. These simply mean there’s ample room to decline, technically.