Loading ...The impracticality of EV’s taking over the world
A long read if you have the time.
If you read the full article you will notice the author refers to the “unprovoked and unjustified attack on the Ukraine”. Mainstream thinking at play. I ignored it.
In summary by 2035 when Governments are expecting to phase out most ICE vehicle production:
-there will not be an adequate supply of the minerals required for the batteries (recycling has it’s challenges)
-the power supply will be inadequate to power the expected EVs
-the increased costs of the materials will drive the cost of owning an EV beyond the ability of the average person
-the production of the EV batteries in China is powered by coal. How green is that? It’s not. EV’s create more damage than ICE.
His solution was to encourage improved ICE fuel performance and to encourage Hybrid vehicles that recharge the battery to some extent.
A shooting war with China, puts the acquisition of EV batteries in the West on hold. Even without a war, we may not be supplied with batteries. Will we become dependant on China for EV Batteries the same as the EU was dependant upon Russia for the cheap and abundant Nat Gas and oil?
https://us20.campaign-archive.com/?u=e91d5474a995d1642e5f0a256&id=ffbc7d0ff6
In 2020 I read a well researched paper on Cobalt, lithium and other critical metals required for the current EV battery technology. He had a caveat that technology may change before his prediction comes reality, new resource discoveries and accelerated mine development.
Analyzing the rate of growth of the EV market plus all the eBikes, eScooters and other uses, the current known reserves of the above metals will allow for 5-7 years of production. Let that sink in. By 2027 the current producing mines will be exhausted. He is not counting on recycling for EV’s but realizes that those car batteries can be repurposed elsewhere.
Is he accurate? I have no idea but we should know more by 2025.
Will most of the world abandon Agenda 2030 by that time?
China is still constructing new coal fired power plants to power all the needs of their future. We breathe the same air and the climate is a closed system.
I don’t subscribe to anthropogenic climate change but I am for eliminating pollution and recycling all we can.
2025 to 2027 likely to be a global Depression.
In this scenario, all this EV and save the planet stuff will get forgotten about, as survival takes over importance.
Two years to prepare.
The Green Dream is a Nightmare
Owners of evs should have to foot the bill to recycle all the toxic crap in their car batteries when they fail.