Loading ...GOP Voters ‘Virtually Impossible to Poll’ After Biden’s ‘MAGA Republicans’ Speech: Top Pollster
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Polls may significantly undercount Republican voters and supporters of former President Donald Trump following President Joe Biden’s speech that attacked “MAGA Republicans” earlier this month, according to a top independent pollster.
Trafalgar Group chief pollster Robert Cahaly wrote on Sept. 17 that Biden’s speech will make it more difficult to survey or even estimate Trump-aligned voters than in prior years. He noted that in 2016, a number of presidential polls and predictions regarding Trump and opponent Hillary Clinton proved to be inaccurate.
“In 2016, Trump supporters were called ‘Deplorables’ and other unflattering names,” Cahaly said on Twitter. “This was a major contributor to the ‘shy Trump voter’ phenomenon that ‘most’ polling missed, which resulted in a major loss in public confidence for polling flowing the election.”
In 2020, “people who supported Trump or espoused conservative values out of step with ‘Woke’ culture found themselves being ‘canceled’ or ‘doxed,’” he continued.
“This led to ‘hidden voters’ that ‘most’ polling under counted, therefore Trump support in key battleground states exceeded expectations. Now [the] Biden administration has essentially classified ‘MAGA Republicans’ as a threat to democracy marshaling federal law enforcement to focus on them,” the pollster wrote. “This move has created a new type of voter that will be even harder to poll or even estimate.”
He was referring to Biden’s Sept. 1 speech that targeted “MAGA Republicans” as a threat to U.S. institutions, just weeks after the FBI raided Trump’s Florida residence. Speaking in front of a red backdrop and flanked by two Marines, Biden claimed Trump and his supporters “represent an extremism that threatens the very foundations of our republic.”
Joe Biden
U.S. President Joe Biden delivers a primetime speech at Independence National Historical Park in Philadelphia, on Sept. 1, 2022. (Alex Wong/Getty Images)
Describing this new group as “submerged voters,” Cahaly wrote that these people “aren’t putting stickers on their cars, signs in their yards, posting their opinions, or even answering polls.”
“At this point, I think it’s fair to say that Biden’s pursuit of and attacks on ‘MAGA Republicans’ has created an army of voters who will be virtually impossible to poll (even for us) and more difficult still to estimate,” he wrote.
For 2022, GOP voter turnout will most likely be higher than what the polls and other election models are showing, Cahaly said. Polls, including those carried out by his Trafalgar Group, are underestimating the effect of the “submerged voter” phenomenon, the pollster concluded.
His prediction comes after The New York Times’ chief political analyst, Nate Cohn, warned that mainstream polling is likely overstating support for Democrats.
“The apparent Democratic strength in Wisconsin and elsewhere is a mirage—an artifact of persistent and unaddressed biases in survey research,” Cohn wrote earlier this month. “If the polls are wrong yet again, it will not be hard to explain. Most pollsters haven’t made significant methodological changes since the last election.”
Officials at the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee didn’t respond by press time to a request by The Epoch Times for comment.
This is a major reason why(unless the Dems get away with stealing another election) the Republicans are going to have another massive red wave like in 1994. Control of both houses of Congress. Let the investigations begin.
The debate imo is whether the plan would be to steal it or cancel mid-terms altogether.
Note the multiple set-ups for potential False Flag operations released by the MSM over past several days (nuclear, chemical, genocide).
Could a US declaration of war (followed by congressional and senate votes affirming same) result in vote postponement as the uni-party “rallies in support” of the narrative? The majority are still controlled by the globalist agenda.
Almost 2 months remaining until Nov 8th — without rule of law to protect citizenry!
That is a definite posibility. Given that the Dems can never win an honest legitimate election because their agendas are so out of touch with main stream americans, they have only the two choices you presented. I don’t believe that after going to all the trouble of stealing control of the govt. in 2020, they are going to rollover and lose in 2022.
How many votes are needed to declare a state war?
SECTION 23. (1) The Congress, by a vote of two-thirds of both Houses in joint session assembled, voting separately, shall have the sole power to declare the existence of a state of war.
Could this be why Putin is keeping to his original SMO Plan and not escalating
One could think he would prefer to see the Neocon Controlled Congress somewhat diluted with MAGAs
https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/kremlin-rejects-mass-grave-lie-provocation-bodies-exhumed
Any self respecting conservative should refuse to talk to the press or (IMO) fund the Rino controlled REP party. I’m at the point where if a rep isn’t going to speak out against the ‘string pullers’ and not just the dem party, I have no interest in funding them. Keeping our hand close and one day our voices will be heard.
Agree with that 100%
Your point is well taken but make no mistake. You first have to win control of the government brfore you can accomplish anything. You need the Rhinos as much as it pains me to say it or you don’t get a majority. Our two party sysytem stinks but it is what we have. I voted for Ross Perot and Ron Paul in the past but if you go third party you just give control to the Dems or keep them in power. It sucks that one has to choose between the lesser of two evils but a Republican party in power with Rhinos a necessary evil is still better than the authoritarian, socialist communist dems.
Yep