PMs Update
At the risk of being wrong, I’m posting an INITIAL read of my charts this morning.
Its too early to go into great depth just yet.
SPX continues to leave heads scratching. W4 bounce? W2 counter rally? X wave?
Whatever it is, I don’t see a W5 bull to new highs from here.
Re PMs, I said in April, no bottom before late summer. We’re in late summer, and hopes have been rekindled.
In retrospect, I think I was too optimistic and now don’t sense a bottom before mid to late autumn. If then.
If my energy sector read is correct (IT bear ongoing, but bull resumes in earnest by mid Q4) even that timing may flop.
Silver’s bounce is stirring hopes. But that’s my read, its not a BMR but a BMB.
We’ll see … the concrete is still wet.
There’s always the risk of being wrong, so no harm done.
However, I’m thinking you are more right than wrong!!
Its a lean from pessimism to guarded pessimism.
I’m sure some here will take that as bullish. LOL.
Basically, if the bottom had been struck in late July, certain (slower moving) indicators of mine should be flipping directionally bullish BY NOW. And they aren’t and likely won’t over coming weeks from what I can see.