This Give Back In The Stock Market Was Necessary
Today’s give back of most of yesterday’s stock market rally is not surprising and was necessary. Last Tuesday, the 26th of April I posted that the stock market had reached a short term point of capitulation that would lead to an 11 trading day respite that would see a choppy market with an upside bias. That has been the case, since. Because we had such a strong day yesterday(remeber the biggest rallies occur in bear markets) it was necessary to pullback significantly because there isn’t a lot of upside above yesterday’s close left to go. Now that we have given back so much of the gains, we have some room for the remaining four trading days before May 11th’s close. By then the bear market should be ready to resume it’s decline. We should see some decent moves both up and down between now and then but don’t expect any breakouts either way until then.
It has more than given some back it has given it all back plus more.. Here is some actionable information.. If it breaks its bottom around SPX 4150 prepare for another 80 pt whoosh.
That was where it was at the time of my post. I didn’t make a prediction about how much it would or wouldn’t give back today. It is still on track for my call from last Tues. that it would chop for 11 trading days until next Wed. Still a bear market, just a sideways respite, albeit a volatile one.
The extent of this sell off has surprised me. Round trip plus in such a short time really has me wondering what’s the message. This is crash like behavior IMO.
Possible. My crash canary, TDG is positioned so it could go either way? Tomorrow should tell if it happens soon or a little further down the road.