Barrick
Barrick was $20 a share 25 years ago same as today…
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I am not trying to say all gold stocks are pathetic. I bought Goldcorp at 1 5/8 to 1 3/4 in 2001. It got to 57 in Sept 2011. But Barrick is like a black hole.
If you want to make money and you are not a professional scalper just buy the stock market. It and the residential real estate market has the Empire seal of approval.
Fearless prediction. The jobs report will be weaker than expected tomorrow. The stock market and the miners will get giddy but after a bit the stock market will keep going and the miners will fade.
That is a decent prediction
Say you held on thru all that time, at $20.
I wonder what fraction of the company you owned in 2001 vs now?
The $20 has certainly devalued. That’s one loss.
But you almost certainly own a much smaller slice of that company too, assuming dilution primarily through warrants I would expect.
The relative outperformance of US stocks vs gold miners and even gold, is painful and frankly depressing.
If ever there were a time when miners should be skyrocketing in relative and absolute terms, it’s now. It is hard to envision a more bullish set of circumstances than today. The fact that the miners have given back everything vs the Dow since the 2020 Covid crash is insane when you think about it.
But then again, one of the biggest relief valves of all the money printing has been stock buybacks of the largest companies in the US. The Fed really does have your back. Moreover, I don’t think they can afford to let gold outperform the stock markets–it would send a horrible signal. Therefore one might expect the US stock market to continue to trounce gold and gold miners until the day the US stops working, at which point mining stocks are likely to be just as worthless as US stocks relative to physical metal.