The Fascinating World of Long Cycles and How they Operate
MESSAGE FROM THE EDITOR :
This work is via a new member . He has sent me a couple of links which outline his work on long cycles in general and the 18.6 year Real Estate Cycle in particular. I found it fascinating as I am sure you will . I invited him to post here at Goldtent. He is a money manager at a Regional Bank and therefore not able to post on Forums so I am taking to liberty to post his work. To respect his request for anonymity his work will be posted on the handle Cyclops.
I find the implications of this work incredible as it pertains to the Markets , Particularly Real Estate. This man is passionate about this work and feels it is hugely important . I agree . Thank you .
Cycles Within the US Stock and
Real Estate Markets
Private Debt’s Role in Stock Market
and Real Estate Cycles
Very intriguing. Thanks for posting.
The most exciting take away for me Sir I is the thesis says we are just beginning the second half (..ie..7 years) of Real the estate boom…5 strong years followed by 2 more wild blow off years.
Cyclops has an interesting take on why this is inevitable…will post in the next in the series.
Pretty astounding stuff…
Great explanation of how these cycles interact and cause larger drops when the cycles align. Thanks for posting this. Looking forward to any more updates.
Interesting stuff! I’ve saved those PDF’s for future reference. Seems like I have seen this real-estate cycle before and had something tucked away about selling my house during the mid 2020’s. The timing coincides with a lot of the baby boomers entering into end of live stage, etc. Makes a lot of sense.
Exactly That Silverhawk.
That is the next part of the thesis….you blew the cover
🙂