“The ACES Pandemic Tracker provides real-time situational awareness of admissions to hospitals in Ontario for reasons that may be related to COVID-19.”

There has never been a hospitalization crises in Ontario all this year! Am I missing something?

Note: the colored lines are Bollinger Bands for Covid-19!  Top/Middle/Bottom +1SD/0/-1  They’re not the usual +2/-2 of most Bollinger Band indicators, but you get the idea.

Data is from triage nurses classification of new patients admitted to hospital based on patient complaint as well as nurses’ observation.  Main point: this is symptomatic observations not PCR lab tests.  It includes a wide range of respiratory symptoms which could include flu, covid, or other things, but only for those who come to the emergency room and are actually admitted to hospital.  That’s probably why it paints such a different picture –no asymptomatic “cases” with PCR tests run at ridiculously high levels of amplification.  These are sick people who are admitted to hospital because the triage nurse can see they are really sick people who ought to be in a hospital.  Old fashioned medicine; clinical diagnoses.

https://www.kflaphi.ca/aces-pandemic-tracker/

UPDATE 845pm : Legend for colors

 

The government of Ontario announced yesterday that come Boxing Day, 26th of Dec. they are locking down the entire province, including that big, sparsely populated chunk (where I was born actually) that has more bobcats than people, for two weeks.  The southern part stays for another 2 weeks.

If you understand Bollinger Bands (you must by now), how long can prices stay below -1?  So, hospitalization for Influenza like illnesses, Pneumonia and general Infections, which would include Covid-19 symptoms is pretty low.  Low as in time to go back to normal not ABNORMAL.