Gold is Good but Apples are Better
I think the Market cap of this stock is larger than the market cap of all the gold Stocks Put Together.
Short this ?
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Fully, You are on to something. Great Pair trade. Short AAPL and use proceeds to go Long Gold. Vehicle and timing not sure but sometime around effective date of stock split.
In keeping with what I think or at least would like to think. A variant could be to short AAPL and use proceeds to go long gold *stocks* so as to use the proceeds as a hedge against the stock component of gold stocks which also consist of (partially tend to react as) a gold component.
However in looking at AAPL I see a longstanding uptrend, any oscillators or other squiggly line stuff notwithstanding. It tells me to be long or (as in my case) not short. I will just avoid the AAPL stuff.
I would not want to short this company if it were named Consolidated Gold Royalties Corp. or Quebec Gold and Silver Production Co., Ltd, and had this chart.
The company has been buying back large quantities of shares for the last 7-8 years in order to goose the earnings per share.
The stock gets a huge boost from the stock buyback program which is financed by profits and debt.
See this article which explains how much the buybacks have impacted the earnings per share.
https://investorplace.com/2020/01/apple-stock-gets-boost-buyback-program/
A number of years ago, the company had zero debt and was flush with cash. This situation has changed.
As of the end of Q1 2020, it was reported that the company had 122+ billion dollars in debt and 93 billion dollars in cash.
One other point I neglected to mention…
The book value per share for end of Q1 2020 is listed as $16.87 for end of Q1 2020. At the current price of $425, the price-to-book ratio of 25.
Compare this to Newmont Mining which has a price-to-book ratio of about 2.4 for end of Q1 2020.
Can you imagine a day when tech company shares are unwanted and gold mining company shares are the rage?
Homer, You have identified the proper vehicle for my suggested pair trade. This is not what AAPL has done up to this point(great success story) but the law of large numbers factors in. Once the stock split is effective, NEM should outperform over a 1yr, 2yr and even 3yr period.