Miners Breaking Out (Again)
GSR looks to be done with a simple backtest of the 84 support (now resistance)…
Miners breaking out…here’s one…
Polls
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Edit: and another… 
Stop it! A short term bullish resolution in a bullish higher trend? It must be magic!
What I like today is GDXJ => GDX => GLD. FOr silver complexe, SILJ (SLV) => SIL. Would love to see SILJ and SIL higher than SLV…
Near perfection. I was so undecided yesterday, but went all in again just minutes before the close of trading. Barely worth it on this occasion, but it was good practice for the bigger correction when it comes.
Smart. We rarely think of a plan IN CASE OF EMERGENCY… we need one… buy and hold a 30-40% drop can be emotionally draining. To quote somebody important “If you fail to plan.. you are planning to fail!”
A few days ago when Plunger took profits, I wondered if I should? Rambus didn’t and basically said to keep sitting tight. PM’s continued to go up a couple more days so my PF went up in value well beyond the profit taking point.
Then we go the correction and it went back down some and yes, hard to take.
Now it’s all back to the profit taking point because if I had, I wouldn’t have gotten the additional bump from staying in.
Sit tight? It is easier…….
Nice thoughts Steins. We should definately share more on this process of emotion management when price action gets heated up.
Rambus had a classic post last night on this topic, especially for us newer PM followers. Need to decide what type of trader you are and stick to it. Short term, medium, or long term. Stick to select stop/loss based on the EMA/SMA that’s predefined for the way you want to trade. I wish i could just do it.
Here is a good tool to help decide when to trade. Would you feel comfortable selling any of your physical allocation at the time of decision? Even 3-5%? If not, don’t trade. I stopped trading at GDXJ 53.70 when the previous two calls led to a smaller position each time. Stick a fork in me I am done.
Heh, thanks for the advice Noman. I will say a HUGE tailwind in the miner’s favor is an extended low price in energy cost. I don’t think that situation will last much longer though – it won’t be a market event, but a geopolitical one that drives oil next. The GOR is still very high historically (link below). Foresee huge volatility during the last 2 months of the year. The manufactured covid economy-killing response will get re-set after the election – no matter who wins or even if it’s ‘decided’.
https://www.macrotrends.net/1380/gold-to-oil-ratio-historical-chart
I also expect oil to rise just like it did in the 70’s. If they sell the oil in Dollars and the Dollar goes down the price of oil goes up to discount the drop in the denominator. They will cut production.
I have learned that when I stop getting price improvement when trading, its time to stop trading. As said all my indicators and my mechanical system are not actionable. They sort of work but there is no profit there.
We could see a final move up into this intermediate cycle next week followed by a grind sideways/lower into the fall. Even a spike to 30 for silver could happen
Going into the weekend with gold essentially at $2000 is surreal. Is this like March 1979, Nov 2001, March 2009 and we don’t know it? Uncharted territory everywhere I look.
Yes and the HUI is almost half the value it was in 2011! Way undervalued
I am not sure we should put limitations on our expectations using any method.
Apparently 3.9 billion went into gold last week according to BOA. The second largest inflow in history.
MOC order of aprox 1.5 million shares GDXJ. 500,000 and 939,424 in two transactions. Institutional money baby! Sign of things to come. Even Adam is back on board.