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Every now and again, I like to look back at my forecasts and see how they panned out. Learning from past errors is essential to adjusting your methods and minimising the risk of future ones. These charts go back to early last year…
And to bring us bang up to date…
Your work has been most helpful for me.
I use a service that suggests that it tries to help manage risk by laying out possibilities more than to predict. I find that risk management — and looking at probabilities — is a good way of looking at things. Hedging one’s bets, taking partial positions, etc.
Your charts have been just about invaluable helping me in managing risk — both opportunity risk of missing out and risk of over-enthusiastic engagement. I am most grateful.
Thanks Karl. It’s nice to know my work has been a help to some people. I’ve often said, I’d be doing these charts for my own benefit anyway, so sharing them seems a nice thing to do. The weather forecasting – financial forecasting link seems to work. So far, so good at least…
Brilliant !!
What a collection! A see a book signing in you future… #crystall
If only I had the time to write a book. Maybe one day Patrick. I’m open to title suggestions… ‘Meteorological Metal Madness’ perhaps 🙂
Maybe at the end of this bull run? Wonderful legacy to inmortalize the era. Hardest part is to scourge the many charts and comments.. hopefully goldtent will still be around.
I hope so too – I’m hoping we’re all filthy rich by then, lol 🙂