PM Market Psychology now set-up for a FOMO chase rally in PM market
Markets are of course made from varying opinions and different views. We all have our own. So this is not criticism of this individuals views merely an example of what I think is the prevailing view, based on hope and bear market scars. Here is a quote I got off of my twitter feed. This I believe expresses prevailing market psychology:
Im waiting for a test of #GDX support before I declare it’s off to the races in #Gold. Today, IMO, is not a test-to coin a phrase, it’s fake. We need to hit that support line, even go under on intra-day. But the test needs to be convincing, & I believe it will be next week.
I could be proven wrong one minute into the trading day tomorrow, however I see this quote as a product of years of bear market action and accumulated scars. It is my view that these investors that are waiting for a bombed out market before they invest will simply get frustrated. Note below there are 3 gaps to get filled. I think the market deals with these later after a more immediate run to the upside.
What we see in the chart above is the ultimate fake-out. It shook all the existing bullish holders (like me) yet it failed to satisfy the sidelined investors who want to get in after a 31 gap fill. The market threaded the needle to frustrate the most possible people. Be Right-Sit Tight.
Once we move above the 35 level this group of investors will be forced to chase the group if they want to remain in the sector.
Will be interesting to see how it works out.
How are you allowed to make sense? FULLY, delete this post now!
????
What did not make sense in Sir Plunger’s post?
I was being funny. Guess it didn’t translate well. I agree with Plunger this rally has legs and a vacuum to a higher target.
I got you Patrick, maybe it’s just been the pleasure of having you around so much lately!
Thanks
Thanks Stein! I’m more of a talker than writer… and french being my first language… some stuff gets lost in the translation!
Sorry for not understanding your humor, Patrick. 🙂
For one, I become a little wary when all gold-positive forums are bullish. Sorry, I find the term “gold bugs” a bit derogatory
But here are some recent/current bullish voices:
https://thedailygold.com/a-potentially-historic-breakout-in-gold-mining-stocks/
https://www.kitco.com/commentaries/2020-05-01/Potential-short-term-bottom-identified-by-a-two-day-candlestick-pattern.html
The USDX might climb regardless of what gold does.
As far as Nasdaq/S&P/Russell … this coming is the week … with all the post-Buffett-conference bearishness, airlines stocks free fall, oil collapse, commercial real estate crashing, WeWork disaster, AMZN debacle … leading up to the unemployment report on 5/8/20 … what else is bearish?
Please share some “realistic” downside targets on S&P