Loading ...Searching for the truth
Well, Fully, if one is seeking the truth, credentials do indeed matter, as does the discipline involved in a particular field. So does source for evidence – if the source is corrupt, then all the “thinking and logic” matters not a whit. Also, no axe to grind, as building an audience, selling more books, products, etc. Perhaps seeking notoriety is suspect, too, in your search. This might help out some:
Excellent article and website. Thank you, silverboom.
yes, thank you silverboom.
Thanks, Silverboom. Strong article.
Thanks Silverboom
As I understand these guys are “Risk Management Experts” and believe they know how this all could have been avoided and believe they KNOW what needs to be done NOW that the cat is out of the bag..
This guy is saying we need more stringent lockdowns for more time and more mask wearing and that we should have done all this as an automatic reaction to this unknown situation IMMEDIATELY !
OK…I get it….Error on the side of extreme caution when you are dealing with a deadly virus that you know nothing about….That sis the theory here.
Furthermore he is saying that Scientists have not enough information to create reasonable useful models so just shut everybody in the world IN until they ca get a real handle on it.
And I have a question …which is….HOW will this save lives ?
For me the lockdown theory has great merit…Flatten the curve…thats what it’s all about…don’t let everybody come down with a virus infection ina short period of time because it will overwhelm our Medical Communities Ability to deal with all the serious illnesses.
This makes good sense and seems to be working
In Canada…the medical response has not been overwhelmed. They have been able to get anyone needing ICU and Respirators in treatment.
There has been enough supplies ( PPEs etc) for medical staff to be as safe as possible.
I understand that this s also the case in most of the USA…with the exception of NYC…where now after a few rough weeks ..the capacity has been increased and people are getting to where they need to be as I understand it.
The rest of the country has not been overwhelmed….so Social distancing has flattened the curve…cases have peaked in many / most countries
Yes Italy and Spain and the UK even were likely overwhelmed for a few weeks and that was a horror story…but that is now apparently back under control.
So we can say that they started the lockdowns too late but when they finally did it ..it has helped and at the moment Cases in Most countries are either peaking or have peaked weeks ago.
So now that the capacity to treat all patients who need treatment has been expanded everywhere and continues to expand ad the case load is leveling off and decreasing ..have we not reached the point where the curve has been flattened enough to at least have more optimism that we will be able to treat anyone who needs it going forward ?
That was always the goal….and this goal if not already achieved is nearly so.
So here is my question
IF this virus is as easily transmissible and as dangerous as is said…and if there is no way to eradicate it…and if no one in the world has innate immunity to it
Then eventually we will all have to get it and either recover or succumb to it…
Unless we remain in “permanent” Lockdown This is inevitable is it not ?
I mean eventually we will all have to catch it right ?
Unless of course there is a good predictable vaccine . But A…there may never be a “Good” vaccine and B…They are telling is a year or 2 before we have anything at all.
So are these Risk managers saying we need to be in lock down for 1 to 2 years at least ?
Another question…how do you lock down places with extremely dense populations …like certain areas of India and Africa and Malaysia and Phillipeans and Mexico City and so many other huge metropolitan areas….There is NO way
Another question…what about civil unrest…it is already happening everywhere apparently but so far is under reported.
It is IMPOSSIBLE to lock down the entire world …period
So what I am saying is that this initial response has worked to a great degree to allow the medical community to shore up its supplies and to weather the initial storm…this capacity will only increase while the virus rate of new infections has leveled off and is decreasing in many places.
At the moment there is no way to stop each and every one of us from getting infected ..as we all do with flu…and as we all did back in the 50s with measles
If the preliminary blood studies are anywhere close to correct..the death rate from infection will be well below 1% .
Do we not need to consider this the new normal. Yes it amounts to millions eventually .
…but so far this year over 17,675,000 people died in the world this year https://www.worldometers.info/ and 165,000 died from covid ( we think)
…………………That means 17,510,000 died from other things…many of them preventable too.
I really don’t get the point of this risk management approach vs the approach we have already taken based on the virologists and epidemiologists
I’ll go with the scientists.