That’s where it all starts, and that’s where it all ends, with everything. Birth, life, death. It’s all cyclical.

It’s just that we’re not accustomed to seeing it on a planetary scale, laid out in front of us in real time.

Zero. That (near enough) is the amount of trade being done by every hotel in most of the world. It’s the number of flights that are up in the air and making money. It’s the number of shops open in our high streets/shopping centres/malls. It’s the number of property sales that are taking place, the number of cafes, bars and restaurants that are open and the number of theatres, gigs, shows and sporting events that are taking place. The Olympics are off, and so is every major global sporting event this year.

2020 vision – it’s not a pretty sight. Total global paralysis and simultaneous collapse of (nearly) every  business activity in the real world. Sure, there are some things that can be done online, but there’s no marketplace, no consumer, for the vast majority of goods/products/services. Food, medicines and lifes ‘essentials’ are all that’s left.

If the government of your country doesn’t do what the UK is doing (pay everyone indefinitely), then there will be an apocalyptic collapse of almost everything. Even here in the UK there are already news stories suggesting that, despite the mechanisms in place, up to 20% of small and medium sized business will be bankrupt within a month. Business loans are no good either – some banks are charging up to 30% interest. How can a business ever afford to pay back such a loan after all of this anyway ?

Edinburgh is a beautiful Scottish city which relies heavily on tourism (especially the annual Festival, which attracts over 4 million visitors and 25,000 artists to perform on it’s streets and venues every August). The festival has been cancelled. That trade is not coming back – it will put many into instant bankruptcy. So many properties are rented out by private landlords to visitors via Airbnb and suchlike. With no income, many will need to sell, thereby crashing the property market. Long term that may not be a bad thing, bringing prices within the reach of those who need housing. In the short term though, the losses are likely to be enormous, and devastating. This will be repeated in every tourist city around the world from Budapest to Boston, Lisbon to London.

This could go very badly wrong if we’re not careful. Either a golden opportunity to learn, improve, get things better, or a perfect excuse for the hidden forces of this world to grab more power and influence at our expense and make our world a much darker place.