I agree that it’s important to try and be positive here, but as we’ve already discussed, the big issue is what happens if we get too many cases needing hospital care all at once. That has happened in Italy.

Think about this for a moment. China has a population of 1.4 BILLION. Italy has a population of 66 MILLION. Therefore Italy has about 5% of Chinas population. The number of fatalities in Italy has already surpassed the official figures we were given for China. The logarithmic graph showing case numbers appeared to be flattening – it’s turning up again.

 

This has the potential to wipe out millions unless social isolation is rigidly enforced. Even in Italy where they are being enforced, the healthcare system is on its knees. Please don’t underestimate this. Was China lying ? Who knows, but this has the ability to overwhelm your countries healthcare capabilities, without question. The peak is predicted in around 8-12 weeks here in the UK…