I’m a stats guy.
Here is where I go to get probabilities regarding the virus…
https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/coronavirus-age-sex-demographics/
IF you have no pre existing health conditions.. and aren’t old… then in 2 weeks after symptoms you should be fine…
But, it’s time to stop the virus dead in it’s tracks… either we do total lock down now.. or do in 6 months… we will have to do it!
Earlier we do it.. the more lives we save. Next time another virus like covid comes out.. we wont be scared to execute the game plan.
F**K politics.
My take on this is that the virus can’t be stopped, only slowed down. Germany is telling its citizens that 60-70% of them will become infected – Americans should plan on the same. The measures being taken are to slow down the process, not to stop it, so that the healthcare system does not become overwhelmed. As for the markets (PM, bonds, equities, real estate), we are likely in the early stages of a crash. Economic activity will slow for many industries and assets will be re-valued to much lower levels. Plan accordingly.