As we approach new all time highs in the US stock market (roughly only 1.5% away), I am personally keeping a weather eye on the chart below.  Tonight is the state of the union address and the euphoria surrounding the president’s announcements will probably push the markets into the stratosphere.  However, if for some crazy reason the monthly chart prints a red candle at the end of this month, the indicator in the chart below will probably print a crossover with pretty heavy negative divergence.