GDX – Ready To Fly ?
If this pattern holds (there are no guarantees, but it’s been reliable so far), then the PM miners have very limited downside, and some great upside potential in the coming week/months.
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Silver.. and the gold miners are usually 2nd after gold to breakout in a precious metals bull era. Im expecting something close to that once again.
That said, I’m thinking silver accelerates to 21 very soon…
Just a quick heads up to those who have been following my remarks since my call for a major (PM sector) high back in Sept/Oct. At the time, it appeared we might make the final lows by late Dec. That’s also a typical low volume time for shenanigans.
I am now of the view the bottom isn’t here yet, and may not arrive until after mid January.
For those keeping up, its about Repo, and the Fed’s attempts to manage the crisis. George Gammon has a good YT just out that can catch you up. My charts suggest they will fail in several important respects … rates do spike anyhow, pulling the $3Tr supports in mid Jan has consequences, and those lead to QE and a breakdown of (remaining) confidence. TWT.
PD, Agree on both.
No bottom this month; now I wouldn’t be surprised if the next significant gold bottom isn’t until after the election.
And yes, it’s all about Repo now and the Fed’s attempt to preempt the crisis.
Pedro, with QE coming are you still thinking we will have another small run up in miners and then everybody should get out. Forgive me as I am paraphrasing from a post a couple weeks ago that you made. I would think the opposite would happen with huge money expansion.
From recently, I was calling for another DROP in PMs (and still have that – now into Jan.).
Then QE sparks FINAL run up for complex (and large B of IV) into collapse. Don’t know when that arrives. PMs will bottom before it does.
Could well be Mad Max time after the final rally next year.
Better read up on Repo if you care about the why.