When will Silver reach my price target?
For a long time, I went by the adage… the bigger the base, the higher in space! Also noticed that breakouts of huge bases often reached their implied measured moves wayyy faster than it took to create that base, but not always.
That still left me vulnerable in the emotion management aspect. What happens if the pullback is more sever.. or there are prolonged hiccups along the way? Would I panic sell on … forgetting my original trading plan? Only to see the original plan still work out and eventually have that target reached!!! Arhhh.. the pain! This has happened to me MANY times…sigh
So here is a tool I’m adding to my trading framework… using angle’s of ascent (or descent) to add a “time to reach” target. Now I have my (possible) implied measured move AND (possible) time to reach it.. My thesis is, if your brain now has “expected” values to these metrics.. then you’ll have a more solid base to resist daily/weekly fluctuations.. which will help you stick to your original plan!
Let me know what you think!
Regards,
Patrick
Interesting work for sure Patrick
We have all been there.
Panic out of a good trade just before it takes off.
I commend you for working on these odds.
It will help us take much of the emotion out if you can work out you “algorithms’
best
Fully
Holding on isn’t easy. PM stocks are a wild ride sometimes. Long term perspective is essential.
Hi NorthStar,
I’m an emotional person which tries to compensate/counteract with analytical reasoning. Maybe the missing ingredient in my technical approach is some “faith” or “conviction”. Just like religious zealots are practically unstoppable.. maybe I should become one?… ahhh the dilema.
In all seriousness.. position trading, long term, strong hand (no sell-stops), technical entries and exits should be based on at least monthly charts (to reduce whipsaws from smaller time frames). Now.. what the hell am I doing on stocktwits.. twitter.. youtube.. or even goldtent…. DAILY!!!! Am I not playing with fire?.
Sometimes.. I think it was better in the old days.. with less daily noise… Now imagine if you just pop up the chart once per month? All those pullbacks… FOMC meetings.. Trump tweets… they weight alot less.
Sorry for the rant…
Patrick