UUP – Why Not This ?
Edit: USDU chart added…
Just something to keep an eye on. I love Rambus work, and he’s probably right. I just can’t shake that Dollar bearish feeling though. All will become clear in time I guess.
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POSTING INFORMATION
Love all of the charts on the U.S. dollar – from Rambus to Fully to Northstar…but I cannot help but think a bit about this from a logical perspective. I know, logic does not trump charts (see what I just did there?)
However, in order for the dollar to be weak, does not something else have to be strong? If you sell dollars, causing the value of the dollar to drop, then what other currency are you going to move to? What other economy or currency is showing or has shown any strength? Would you trade dollars for Canadian dollars? Australian dollars? The Euro? The British pound? Japanese Yen? Where would you go to a currency you can use? In the race to the bottom, might it not be that the U.S. dollar is the last man standing? Perhaps Swiss francs, but even they now have negative interest. And who uses the Swiss franc besides the Swiss – and lucky tourists.
Just wondering about that. If gold has hit all time highs in every major currency EXCEPT the dollar, does that not bode well for the dollar?
May well be right Silverboom.
Northstar’s charts actually suggest that the US dollar may go higher still for a while. We, at least not I, do not know exactly what happens in the next half year or so. Certainly not everyone is happy with the strength of the US dollar (Trump and US exporters, notably). Will powerful people be able and willing to do something to weaken it, and if so how*? Will it weaken without their help? Will the implications of the charts prove wrong? I cannot know, but I certainly will bear these interesting charts in mind.
(*Too much of a bug’s fantasy to think the US will do something to devalue the dollar in terms of gold in an overt fashion, but it is a pleasant fantasy.)
I agree with those thoughts Karl.