Sam’s EW on gold
Something certainly changed this last week.
I had been on a LT btfd setup for May, watching for a trigger that seemed to be fading out of range.
Sam was looking for a wedging decline into a reversal later this summer, ahead of a furious rally.
But now, is it here already?
Sam expects the orange c to be the bookend to the corrective rally that began in Dec 2015 with orange a up back then.
“The run up since May low of 1267.30 is black b up of red e down. It seems it has more upside near term.
Black c down of red e down to new low will follow.
(But) It is also possible to count that red e down has come to the end, and gold price is already on orange c up.
If gold price move up above red d high of 1349.80, then orange c up is confirmed as shown in black arrow of above count”
pdl adds … orange c up to green B, would mark the end of the second leg of Cycle IV, with green C down below $1000 to follow. Sam’s count for SPX also sees a major top in 2020. Coinciding with a significant dollar low and presumably, a renewed global dollar funding crisis.
If gold trades above $1320 in next daily cycle, I assume the bullish count is valid. With a gold rally of $100-$150 possible this is very likely.
Thank you for sharing. This actually fits to the scenario I have been looking for and trying to understand from an EW perspective if it was possible. The 1320-1325 area is s perfect backtest of the weekly channel gold is in, shared here: https://goldtadise.com/?p=444316 Will be interesting to watch.