Excellent post on the Real Estate cycle
Here is an excellent article by Peter Temple on the 18.5 year real estate cycle:
https://worldcyclesinstitute.com/the-eighteen-year-real-estate-cycle/
Enjoy.
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POSTING INFORMATION
Go to Surf City Site.
Norvast has a Credit Cycle post on the sidebar I believe showing we have a ways to go before a RE top
https://surfcity.co/2017/02/02/what-is-the-time/
Thanks for the link to Surf City. I agree with the top being in the future. That is for the US. Peter Temple says the RE top in Canada will come sooner though since TO and Vancouver are so overvalued. We’ll see when that is but I don’t believe it is imminent.
Yes I have been writing about the 18.6 year real estate and banking cycle (credit cycle) for some time, and it is following the classic road map very closely so far, with an expected mid cycle slowdown commencing next year (maybe mid 2020).
Stocks have yet to have a “blow off” top like they did last time around in 1998-2000 but I expect a robust second half of 2019 after an ICL late Jun.
After the mid cycle slowdown finishes we can expect exponential growth in credit, real estate and stock prices through to 2026-27 before the bubble bursts.
Mind I do not seem to have many followers despite the fact that the credit cycle has repeated every 18-22 years for the last 200+ years.
The most important thing to remember is that almost all profit eventually finds its way into real estate guaranteeing higher prices followed by a credit fuelled advance followed by a bust!
I am fully committed in stocks at the moment but early 2019 I will make a decision whether to just hold, hold & hedge, or sell. I am suggesting that this time around gold & miners will be a very good hedge as they were back in 2001-2003 when we experienced the last half cycle slowdown.
Stay tuned!
Thanks Sir Norvast.
Very important information