Credit contraction is in the making.

Credit spread is the ratio ( difference in yield) High yield bond to treasury bond.

Below is the chart of HYG to IEF. I have been watching this for market direction and stress along with other indicator.
As ratio goes down the yield spread widens – that happens in bust time????

Warning was given on Nov 16 last wee in my post:

Credit spread vs SPX

Chart short term chart. Long term chart is as bad as this one???