Another $20 Drop For Gold, Then…
Disaster for PMs, or will it follow my expectations ?
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I believe too $1250 could be bottom, testing trendline, if $1270 is not holding,
Not long to wait before we find out Alex 🙂
Beautiful Chart as always Northstar
I hope that Diamond plays UP…like the cycles are suggesting
otherwise its a perfect Halfway pattern !
sheesh
You’re right Fully. Apparently, these diamond patterns resolve bullishly 69% of the time, if they form after a downtrend. Given the fact that it’s happening at the gold cycle low point, that should make it even more likely to resolve to the upside. That’s the theory anyway.
Good call on that back test Fully.
Thanks Northstar. You make it look so simple! But we know it takes years of thought and attention to to be able to synthesize things down to this image. So thanks for your efforts.
The best of luck to all, and good fortune.
Thanks CT. I’ve been charting PMs since 2007\8, but only on an occasional basis until a year or two ago. It has many similarities to my day job in weather prediction though, so I’m using similar pattern analysis in many ways 🙂
I’m looking at an ending diagonal forming right now…
Great chart! So many possibilities : )
Personally, I’m expecting a breakdown from the diamond, if not now, then into years end. I’m somewhat a newbie though, so don’t pay too much attention to what I say lol.
That being said, the last 16yr low bottomed in 2001 but it only moved 25% in the first 3 years. This tells me we could break down here and as long as we don’t violate 2016 low we should be ok?
Hi Dan. Thanks for the comments. Gold price advanced from approx $260 in 2001 to $400 in 2004, which equates to just over 50% 🙂
Granted ) I was just approximating to make a point that we’re only 1.5 years in…we could easily drop down to $1100, then turn around and break out and go all the way up to ~$1600 in a year…and still be on time to make a right translated 16yr cycle with comparable gains to the previous one. This all very “speculative” of course.
I should think that this is just as frustrating as forecasting
the weather, Northstar..
Thank you.
FAB chart Northstar,
GOLD can fall to c. 1240 and still be in the trading channel established around the 2015 lows:
https://goldtadise.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/06/GOLD-D-180606-CHANNELS.png
There’s a significant chance of GOLD plunging to c. 1180 (2013 low) to establish the right shoulder of the emerging inverse H&S, so clearly described in your diamond.
Should GOLD decide so to do, I suspect it will play out at a similar angle to the plunge of Q4 2016.
Let’s hope otherwise…