US0210Y Spread
Now that the 2s10s < 50bps again,
let’s see how King Dollar and gold will perform …
Polls
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I Think we need an interpreter Gabe
So you are showing the 10 year US Bond Yield minus the 2 year US Bond Yield
and it is dropping ( Tightening) …which is perhaps signalling recession ?
Dollar is Rising ( signalling deflation)
So Gold Should do what ?
What you dont’t see in this chart FGC ?
I can’t say this often enough, the flattening of the Yield Curve IS NOT GOOD FOR THE DOLLAR.
Watch 2-10Y spread and then go look at a chart from 2004 to 2008.
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2017-11-28/flattening-yield-curve-steamrolls-dollar-as-tax-debate-rages-on
I understand Gabe BUT many here do not ….this is not so simple for those who do not follow these things…You are saying 2-10….that is incorrect…its the 10 – 2….so That needs clarification.
When the 10- 2 yield spread is dropping That means the 10 year yield is getting closer to the 2 year yield ( that is a deflationary situation)
If the 2 – 10 is decreasing then the opposite is true.
Please remember we have thousands of interested readers…so I think its prudent to clarify
Now regarding this thesis…the Dollar is rising …IN SPITE of this Yield Curve dropping…so that is an anomaly as far as you are concerned.
End of program .