SPX 1987– Look Familiar?
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NEVER EVER
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CAREFUL OUT THERE
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OH WHAT A TANGLED WEB
* DIED SUDDENLY
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CENSORING THE INTERNET IS LIKE
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YOU MURDEROUS HYPOCRITES
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WE ARE
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POSTING INFORMATION
There’s a lot of talk of 1987 flying around now. I’m not sure about that but the word I have on my mind is “disorderly.”
Really, I’m looking at a double top on $SPX, which is a significant decline peak to trough. If you do have
a move of that size on the broads, I think the corresponding move in individual sectors will be somewhat greater.
Also, I don’t think “this is it.” I may well be wrong, but I don’t buy it.
I think this is “the pause that refreshes”, before a further rally. Wherever that tops out is, I think, the place to
go short.
Thank you Eagle. I went sidelines and have been looking to rebuy. This could be very useful. Please keep us updated!?
I am short today.
After thought, I don’t believe we’ll see a 1987.
I think we’ll go down to that Utilities long term trend line which has a bit to go down, and I believe we’ll test the Dow 200dma which will be about 23,000.
In 1987, the stock markets had chugged pretty steadily up for 6 years. People were so confident. They had the second coming of Jesus, Reagan, as their head, and they thought it was a new tremendous time for America.
Today? Everyone is fearful. People still bring up 1987 every time there’s a small drop. 2000 and 2008 are still fresh in everyone’s minds. People are afraid of war. They’re afraid of Trump. They’re afraid of our debt. Fear is everywhere!!!
That’s why I think, a drop just below the previous lows, bull flag style is going to cause so many sellers but it will be just that a necessary “shakeout” before the rise. The purpose of a drop is to balance greed and fear. A drop below the lows is plenty in my opinion with those previous drops so fresh on people’s minds.
My opinion only obviously.
Good luck Eagle and all,
Chuck