I was going to take a look at where we might expect gold price to drop to if we are indeed at the start of a new bull. After Redlabels post, I decided to have a look at how the 20 and 50 month simple moving averages behave. I’m happy to say that everything is progressing according to the script. 20 MSMA is somewhere around $1270 at the moment. Of course, as price rises above this, it will drag it upwards. Here’s how it looked at the start of the last bull in 2001…

and here’s how it’s looked over the last 16 years or so…

and for a close look at where we are right now…