Some interesting charts: miners and explorers
Most gold experts remain cautious and prefer to buy near $1200 gold, this could be the right strategy, but from observing the behavior in miners and looking at some juniors there is lots of value already, and buying should be done from now on I believe.
I strongly believe we have seen the worst and it is time to have positions in gold/ silver miners and especially the explorers as once gold gets back to 1350$+ and far higher the explorers will be the place to go again.
When buying producers you should take into account that the average mine life for seniors is only 10-12 years and several companies like CDE and KGC have mine lives of max 5/7 years on some of their successful mines in Mexico or US. Therefore I believe the place to go will be the explorers again.
In terms of country exposure however, I think after observing the geopolitical problems in countries like Guatemala (TAHO), Greece (EGO), Tanzania (ACA) and several others it is wise to have a major position in safe countries + some smaller additional exposure in riskier countries when valuation or geology justifies it. Some examples are West Africa , due to its outstanding geology, and this is a region where Randgold makes all of its money! Other riskier countries could be Mongolia, that is looking as the next place to be for Copper porphyry systems after Chile and Peru.
In the large cape Gold space I like Randgold, although not a cheap stock, all in cash costs at $650 are very impressive.
A large cap stock with More potential upside is Pan American Silver that posted impressive results earlier in the year,
CDE looks very interesting too, has even more upside potential than PAAS due to higher cost profile:
I know several retail investors like AG, EXK and GPY, but I prefer to stick to bigger names, although AG looks fine and GPL looks cheap and lots of potential too, especially with their new mine in Peru opening.
In safe locations, I prefer the US, and more specific Nevada. Why, when the US$ start to depreciate again, you better be invested in US$ gold names than Canadian names. (my opinion)
I believe as gold producer RPM looks appealing, but still has to convince the market, once done, this name should be trading 100-200% higher.
Two interesting explorers in Nevada however are KOR and NM, both with still conservative valuation
Chart of NM, Northern Empire does not look so appealing, but when you check fundamentals everything looks superb! All insiders are buying, and this could be the next Corvus.
Both names, KOR and NM are sitting adjacent to each other and could be taken out the next 24 months as major producers all did participate in recent financings.
In Canada, I like Vit (cheap), SBB (expensive), NHK and PGM (cheap producers, next Integra?)
In the more riskier locations like West Africa, we have lots of explorers like SWA, VG, ALG, SCA, AGZ, NXS, ORE, AGG,…
I particularly like Sarama and Volcanic:
Sarama, has 2 JV’s on its properties and still has 2 other properties to drill for, all this for MC of $10M, very cheap, with high quality management, this should be taken out by EDV, ACA or TGZ in the next 24 months!
Same about Volcanic, market cap of $15M and lots of higher grade near surface ounces. Management has ex Fortuna people involved, take out potential in 24 months possible
In another area of the world, I like GUY and maybe SPP (needs far higher gold price)
Nice summary Alex, thanks.
Excellent Alex…you do , do your DD .
Anybody have a suggestion about Triumph gold?
And in Australia I like…..?
Thanks, Alex.
Australia, good point! Will add later on.
KL.TO got smashed today. What are your thoughts on them and there investment in the “Australian Gold Rush”. Did the Assays come out and they forgot to tell the little people?