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WE ARE
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Yes, no doubt.
But it could take as much as six weeks to complete its top.
I don’t think its imminent. Based on my charts.
Watching closely though.
If $USD is on the verge of turning bullish for a few weeks, will be a bearish headwind for all commodities.
Enough said 🙂
from elsewhere … not sure how much of an impact this will have, but its not trivial
(wrs has serious expertise in this area, but not enough to sort out the data mess here)
“Re-Benchmarking” of Domestic Crude Production shows 1mmbbl/day drop
wrs – Wed, Oct 18, 2017 – 10:45 AM
So I don’t recall seeing this happen before, certainly not with such a large change. The weekly Lower 48 production shows a drop of 1083kbbl/day. In essence what we are being told here is that the EIA was OVERSTATING US oil production for many months…………..
They are claiming their monthly data is out of line with the weekly data
wrs – Wed, Oct 18, 2017 – 12:34 PM
I can’t imagine why the two would be that far off. I think some of the wells that shut down in the Eagleford after Harvey may have stayed off line under a force majeure. Not sure who would benefit in that case but I can’t see what other explanation there would be for such a large difference in the monthly and weekly surveys. Normal hurricane outages are only a few days and wouldn’t make a prolonged difference between the weekly and monthly as the EIA seems to imply in their statement.
Excellent feedback, appreciate your input Pedro…