Emerging markets
I recently shorted EWZ the Brazilian ETF. Note the recovery of EWZ relative to EEM following the 2008 collapse. It made a lower major low and is inherently weaker. If you think the USD will recover , interest rates increase and oil revenues decline then this could be the pick of emerging market shorts. There is also this
Sovereign Debt Crisis – Interest Expenses Are Already Consuming Large Portions of Tax Revenue
Much of the debt is USD denominated.
I can see this falling by 66% over the next year as it did in the previous crisis
My work does not support this positioning.
Referencing off BZQ, it appears we are many months from a LT bottom.
Although bounces here and there are probable.
See also Fibbo’s recent tweet on $.
One more sharp decline going into yearend seems probable.
Off both his EW and my charting, which are in sync on this.
I don’t make predictions but I agree, it does look like EWZ may be making an immediate top here. I’ll be looking for shorting opportunities via BZQ as they appear.
Thanks for posting.
looks like a big doji candle on bovespa index today, I have been following this as well, thinking that if us dollar rises then she will get hit.