Again the main utility of this is an early warning forecast of tightening credit conditions in the fall. The message it is transmitting is that any rally in the SM is on borrowed time. It’s actually a set-up gift to anyone who wants to be a short seller this fall. Or to just the average fellow who wants to head for the sidelines for protection.

Keep in mind we have been chronicling this move since the break out of the triangle. That breakout signaled trouble ahead. It was the early warning indicator. We now have the action validating that move with its full expression this week. It is not a coincidence that we also now see a distribution top among the FAANG stocks along with an implosion of market darling/Chief Kool-Aide stock TSLA. This is what we refer to as the language of the market.