pedro’s unconventional T/A ….. tying up with EW
Apologies in advance as I won’t be posting a chart on this.
Just a heads up on something I noticed on my monthly chart for CEF.
Last summer’s top came on customized money flow metrics I use where fast and slow were both 90+ in July. Rare event especially for the slow. [range 0 to 100***]
The sell crossover came in Aug.
Flip to April ’17. Fast in the 90s, slow in the 80s. Almost a carbon copy of last July.
Sell crossover in May underway.
Last year, the decline took ~6mos to complete.
Yes, on the weeklies, silver currently looks nicely oversold.
Yes, the miners are resilient, to borrow a phrase.
But to bring EW back into this, if there is a C wave down lurking around the corner, this is what it would look like.
Be careful on the bounces!
*** Just for comparison, for CEF monthly, even the fast version never exceeded 85 from the 2011 high until 2016, including even the top of the 2012 reaction bounce.
Combined with rambus latest post wow are bulls going To get potentially stomped.
Yes this does not look good and just got even worse as this guy is bullish and he is always on the wrong side of the moves in gold. I mean that seriously he gets it wrong every time.
https://seekingalpha.com/article/4072022-great-gold?app=1&uprof=45&isDirectRoadblock=false
Its all getting very depressing, but maybe that is what we need for the charge up in 2018 🙂
Agree….we are early to the party here it seems. More pain likely ….gotta play safe.
Longs should be right for a teaser bounce first though. But keep the big picture in mind.
Thanks perdo