We are about to see the final push up to the top of the channel in usd/jpy before we finally get a retrace. That means gold will get hit one more time at least and then a bear market rally. This ultimately looks like a bull flag to me in Usd/jpy that will break to the upside.

KenS’s analogy, which had a target around 8 GDX I believe, has been absolutely insanely accurate. Every week that goes by and it gets more eerie in accuracy. If we were to stay on the path, the bounces in gold would be far and few between. The target sounds impossible but when you look at the weekly chart in gold then a fall to 950 looks completely plausible. If that chart were on hourly basis, it would be a textbook falling wedge and I would expect one more touch of the bottom before shooting up. It’s my favorite pattern to trade because the thrust out of it is usually very aggressive. Im starting to believe this weekly chart will pan out that way. What that will that do to the miners? The part I’m not sure but they would take quite a hit.

Usd/jpy

Gold weekly