Some members were discussing the merits of using this simple metric for being on the right side of the trade

Lets review

This is a monthly moving average. It is NOT for traders. However IF you simply want to know as an Investor when to be IN Gold and When to be OUT this is your Baby

gold-1

Round numbers

IN at 300 ( 2001)…out at 800 ( 2008) ….$500 profit

then back in at 800 ( during the Financial crisis of 08)…OUT at 1600 (2011)…$800 Profit

In at 1200 (2016)…out at 1200 ( 2016). Sitting in cash awaiting a retest from below..YOU DIDNT LOSE ANY MONEY

IF the retest holds resistance ( as I expect).. ie price does not exceed the 20 Month EMA …stay in cash

IF THE PRICES EXCEEDS …IT WILL STILL BE ABOUT $1200 …AND YOU DIDNT MISS A THING !

FOR CONSERVATIVE TRADERS THIS IS IT !