Assessing the situation through DUST…
Trends can be defined as primary and secondary. To be technically correct, the daily trend is still down for GDX until the diagonal upper trend is breached to the upside on the previously posted daily charts. The DUST 2 hour trend is still up until the lower diagonal trend line is breached to the downside–the trend since the first of August. As a “day trader”, I denote a trend change on the minute charts. All I care about is making money and being on the right side of the IMMEDIATE trend. When dealing with DUST/NUGT, a trader has to be close to exact in timing or substantial losses can occur. Structure is great; however, when dealing with triple leveraged ETFs timing is critical. Structure must always be confirmed with momentum. Of course trend changes on the minute charts can eventually be reflected on the larger scale charts. Nevertheless, yes, the DAILY trend is still down for GDX until proven otherwise.
IMO … I expect miners to make 1 final push-UP which would meet your DUST-support. Could be today but probably Friday. Correct the trend is down for miners! Markets just want a little bit more longs before going down.
Thanks!
I’m in the same camp as Night. Pretty close here though.
Very clear thinking commentary.
I can add my take on trends too. On what I regard as LT, IT, ST etc, I have GDX still on LT, IT sells, with no reversal signals yet at those degrees.
So they ‘trump’ the ST signals that we got at recent lows. Meaning this ST rally is countertrend to the IT and LT moves in progress. Fits the W4 view.