Mark, I have learned a great deal following and studying your posts. Thank you for sharing your talent and know how so generously. I always draw up a chart of my own whenever I encounter new TA technique or a new slant on the market. Often I just dig into my own charts to have a look-see. I have included several of your charts and also charts of other “posters” in my folder.
Of course I opened my own $CRB chart to compare with yours. Long story short, I see the $CRB having sliced back up through the double bottom of 1999/2001, and now settling down for a possible BT. I do not mean to imply that your interpretation is wrong – you could very well have nailed it – but I do think we need more evidence to conclude that commodities are to continue on down. I guess we wait to see if $CRB bounces at 180 or so.

$CRB Weekly

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$CRB Daily

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(I am unable to post in the comment section. Will have to wait until my propeller head techie friend returns from Asian sojourn to help correct the problem)